05:32 2025-03-21
Data scientist: Crypto prediction marketplace Polymarket predicts world events with up to 90% accuracyData scientist Alex McCullough's research shows that prediction market Polymarket is 90% accurate at predicting events that occur one month later and 94% accurate four hours before the event.
McCullough analyzed historical data from Polymarket and found that the platform slightly but consistently overestimated the probability of an event occurring in most probability ranges, possibly influenced by factors such as herd psychology, low liquidity, and participants' preference for risky bets.
05:20 2025-03-21
Total stablecoin market cap breaks through $230 billion for the first timeAccording to The Block, on Thursday, the total market capitalization of stablecoins topped $230 billion for the first time in the context of efforts by U.S. regulators to promote the adoption of stablecoins. According to DefiLlama, the current total market capitalization stands at $230.45 billion, an increase of $2.3 billion in the past seven days. The market capitalization of stablecoins has increased by 56% compared to the same period last year. In the overall market capitalization, Tether's U...
05:12 2025-03-21
Tesla Shanghai Energy Storage Super Factory first batch of Megapack export shipmentsOn March 21st, Tesla announced that the first batch of super-large commercial electrochemical energy storage system Megapack of Tesla Shanghai Energy Storage Super Factory was officially exported. According to reports, a single Megapack can store about 3,900 kWh of electricity, equivalent to the battery capacity of 62 Model 3 rear-wheel drive versions.
05:11 2025-03-21
The United States has been exposed as seeking to expand control of key assets in UkraineOn March 21, according to the Financial Times, the administration of US President Donald Trump is seeking to adjust the terms of the US-Ukraine minerals agreement to give the United States access to key mineral and energy assets in Ukraine, expanding its economic demands on Ukraine. Two Ukrainian officials said Washington wants Kiev to agree detailed terms on who owns and controls a joint investment fund, as well as a broader scope that could include US ownership of other economic assets such as...
04:32 2025-03-21
Greeks.live: Near Quarterly Delivery, Crypto Options Market Makers Bet Short-Term Market Will Continue to SidewaysGreeks.live macro analyst Adam wrote that this week's crypto market trading is relatively flat, the total amount of options delivered has dropped by nearly half, the short-term implied volatility has dropped significantly, the short-term volatility of Bitcoin has fallen below 50%, and the short-term volatility of ETH has fallen back to around 60%.
Cryptocurrences are currently in a free-oscillating sideways state, and investor sentiment has become sluggish. As the quarterly delivery approaches, ...